On one hand Perth vacancy rates have eased slightly. This is good for the rental market. On the other hand interest rates have gone up twice and this is not so good for the rental market. With Perth’s population increasing and any government intervention unlikely to make an impact for more than two years, the experts are divided on how, and when, our red-hot rental market will begin to find some balance.
Recent figures released by the Real Estate Institute of Western Australia show the number of rental properties on the market increased during the September quarter by 3.4 per cent. This is still tight, but at least a small an improvement on previous quarters. It might just be enough to lift the spirits of thousands of Perth tenants who have long found it difficult – and expensive – to find quality rental options. The light is finally starting to shine at the end of the tunnel. Maybe…
Supply is also at an all time high and still being fuelled by investors looking to feed the strong demand with CBD apartment development at a consistently high level. However with a net positive population growth in Perth and plenty of young people choosing an inner city lifestyle, this supply is in constant demand. A recent article in The West Australian suggests Perth tenants can expect little relief for at least the next two years. Westpac senior economist Mr Matthew Hassan believes the current market conditions will either stay much the same, or even worsen slightly before they improve.
“It’s very difficult to envisage anything but a continuation over the next couple of years at least,” said Mr Hassan.
Even if the government intervenes by releasing new land areas for development, completion of any construction is years away. In the meantime, the demand continues to grow as disenchanted buyers flood the rental market and other would-be buyers are choosing to invest in equities as opposed to bricks and mortar.
REIWA president Rob Druitt also believes the recent interest rate rises will not help reduce the heat in the current rental market.
“Typically a rate rise will see owners and investors pass on the additional cost to the tenant through rent increases, however this will depend on whether or not the current market will support it.”
November through to March is recognized as a busy time in the rental market as people look to settle in to a property before starting work or university. So it looks like a case of “watch this space…”