Showing posts with label housing market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label housing market. Show all posts

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Breath easy, the grant stays

So finally we have our answer, the first home buyers grant will remain for three months at the full rate and three months at a reduced rate.

*Insert collective sighs of relief from the entire real estate industry here.*

This is a good move by the Government and one that has seen the industry dodge a very large bullet. If the grant was ceased on June 30 first home buyer activity would have come to a screaming halt and the market place repercussions would have been quite dramatic.

Through phasing out the grant the Government has paved the way for a more orderly market adjustment. The economy is expected to stabilise over the next 6 months and interest rates are expected to stay low. Together these two factors provide an opportunity to offset any shock when the grants do finally stop. The move to keep the grant for both existing and new properties is also positive and avoids any distortion.

So what now? Well historically Government intervention coupled with low interest rates is the pre-curser to the upside of the property cycle. This doesn’t mean everything is roses, what is does mean I think is that the market is likely to continue ticking along as it is until well into 2010 – it is a time to have a positive, but balanced view of the market place.

What was missed in the budget is any sweeteners for investors and second and third tier buyers. Investors are a big piece of the puzzle that is missing right now and through creating strategies that would entice them back into market the Government could have created a far more balanced market place, rather than just relying on the first home buyers to keep us a float. Australia is also in the midst of an ever growing housing stock crisis which cannot be addressed by the first home buyers grant alone. I have pointed out the need to broaden the stimulus here before, so I won’t cover too much old territory there.

All in all budget night was a positive night for the industry. The ‘what ifs?’ around the first home buyers grant are now answered and it is business as usual.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Be happy, be innovative

The boom has left us hanging onto mediocrity. We’ve become comfortable because it’s been easy. We’ve been letting other people take the gamble and the chance. Now the GED has rudely shocked us and rocked us out of that rake-it-in coma.

People are preoccupied with the darkness and gloom but you’ll always find someone living with less light and hope. While Australia is the 18th wealthiest economy in the world according to one website, apparently we are also the 6th happiest country in the world.

If you’re not feeling like you’re part of the Top 10 happy places in the world, perhaps it’s because you’ve been paying too much attention to miserable advertising. Notice how quickly television and other forms of advertising have jumped on the bad times band wagon? They’ve taken up the language of a bleak economic climate and adjusted their global economic crisis vocabulary so quickly it’s hard to believe the Ikea-loving Swedes and Canadians are behind us on the happiness ladder.

The days of the spin merchant are gone however and we can’t afford to be seduced anymore. We have neither the time nor money. You just can’t “trust” blindly anymore. Find people who you know are good at what they do or come recommended by those you trust. Work with people who actually have the solutions to your problems, not just people who say they do.

Most of us are pretty clever about what we’re being told, but now more than ever it’s important to see the real message being communicated and not be manipulated by the spin.

The up-side of this down-turn is now we have the perfect chance to make a difference. To be different. To think differently. To strive to be better. To do things which have never been done before.

Whether you’re going to seriously commit to household recycling, buy a home or get involved in a business venture, it’s time for innovation and the climate is ripe for it.

In our recent In Property magazine, Perth horticulturalist Josh Byrne shared with us how planting a verge garden got him out of the back of his house and greeting his neighbourhood. By creating a nice place to be at the front of his house, he’s met the people in his street and made friends with his neighbours.

It’s a grass-roots gesture, but we need them to lift our spirits. Feeling good about yourself and the world around us is what convinces someone somewhere with a great idea to pursue it. They say it takes a village to raise a child. It’s a valuable mantra to have at the moment.

Let’s cultivate the art of being better, of giving great service and “doing good”. Unprecedented times call for unusual measures.